"This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting."--Daniel Kahneman,...

"This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting. Tetlock also offers...

"Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose" von Jürgen Neubauer basiert auf dem Werk von Philip E. Tetlock und Dan M. Gardner, das sich mit der Fähigkeit befasst, präzise Vorhersagen über zukünftige Ereignisse zu treffen. Das...