"This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting."--Daniel Kahneman,...

"This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting. Tetlock also offers...

"Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose" von Jürgen Neubauer basiert auf den Arbeiten von Philip E. Tetlock und Dan M. Gardner, die das Buch "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction" verfasst haben. Das Buch...